Despite a grim 2022, Banca Transilvania shares remain very popular among Romanian investors and top-performing international funds. While you can buy TLV shares directly, sometimes it is worth considering an ETF with TLV representation.
Banca Transilvania S.A. provides various banking products and services. Founded in 1993, Banca Transilvania S.A. was listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange in 1998 with the ticker TLV and is now one of the top holdings in the largest Frontier and Emerging Markets ETFs (FM).
Banca Transilvania Shares - Research and Ratings
- Is TLV stock undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts, and its price relative to the market?
- What is the analyst 12-month TLV shares price forecast?
- What are TLV’s future growth expectations?
- How has Banca Transilvania stock performed over the past 5 years?
- Should you buy TLV shares or invest in ETFs with TLV representation?
Understanding Banca Transilvania shares: A brief history
Banca Transilvania SA (BT) is a Romania-based bank that merged with Volksbank Romania SA in 2015.
The Company’s business activities are divided into seven segments:
- The Corporate Client sector offers lending services, financial consulting and planning, cash management services, asset management, investment, and financial advisory for corporate clients.
- The Small and Medium-sized (SME) segment is represented by corporate clients.
- The Individual Client division provides financial products and services, such as loans, mortgages, deposits, card services, internet banking, and transfer money for retail clients.
- The Healthcare division provides tax assistance and financial services for medical specialties.
- The Treasury segment combines treasury activities.
- The Leasing and loans sector offers leasing components and consumer loans.
- The Other sector encompasses financial investment management, brokerage service, factoring, and real estate services.
TLV shares are distributed among 3 categories:
- General Public - 63.8%
- Institutions - 31.1%
- Individual Insiders - 5.2%
The top 25 shareholders own 34.63% of the company, while the top 5 shareholders are:
- NN Group N.V, Asset Management Arm – 10.13%
- European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Asset Management Arm – 6.89%
- Horia Ciorcila – 4.6%
- S.I.F. Oltenia S.A - 3.49%
- The Vanguard Group, Inc. - 3.1%
TLV shares - Fundamental Analysis and Financial Ratings
See the latest Banca Transilvania SA stock price analysis, including valuation, future growth, past performance, and more to help you make more informed investing decisions.
Valuation
Is TLV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts, and its price relative to the market?
- TLV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.8x) compared to the peer average (11.9x) and European Banks industry average (9.5x).
- TLV is a good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x).
- TLV is trading below analysts' estimate of fair value (RON31.66)
Future Growth
Banca Transilvania is forecasted to grow earnings and revenue by 5.4% and 7.9% per annum respectively. EPS and ROE are also expected to grow by 4.7% and 18.5% per year respectively. Analyst coverage for Banca Transilvania stock is good.
- TLV's forecast earnings growth (5.4% per year) is above the savings rate (1.3%).
- TLV's earnings (5.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the RO market (-7.1% per year).
- TLV's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
- TLV's revenue (7.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the RO market (-3.1% per year).
- TLV's revenue (7.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
- TLV's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years' time (18.5%).
Past Performance
How has Banca Transilvania performed over the past 5 years?
- TLV has a high level of non-cash earnings.
- TLV's current net profit margins (40.9%) are lower than last year's (42.8%).
- TLV's earnings have grown by 9.3% per year over the past 5 years.
- TLV's earnings growth over the past year (21.2%) exceeds its 5-year average (9.3% per year).
- TLV earnings growth over the past year (21.2%) exceeded the Banks industry's 10.3%.
- TLV's Return on Equity (26.3%) is considered high.
Financial Health
What are the financial health updates?
- TLV's Assets to Equity ratio (14.8x) is moderate.
- TLV has a sufficient allowance for bad loans (164%).
- 93% of TLV's liabilities are made up of primarily low-risk sources of funding.
- TLV has an appropriate level of Loans to Assets ratio (49%).
- TLV's Loans to Deposits ratio (56%) is appropriate.
- TLV has a high level of bad loans (3.8%).
Dividend
Banca Transilvania does not have a record of paying a dividend.
TLV Shares Price Forecast
What is the analyst 12-month TLV shares price forecast, and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target from analysts?
According to simplywall.st, the TLV 12-month target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.
The analyst followed by stockpedia.com forecast Banca Transilvania SA shares price to target RON25.63. That is around 30% above the closing price of Q1 2023.
Trading Economics forecast Banca Transilvania shares to be priced at 19.21 by the end of this quarter and at 17.89 in one year, according to their global macro-models projections and analysts' expectations.
There are no 5-year TLV shares price forecasts and price predictions.
Important: When considering TLV's fundamental analysis, financial rating and price predictions, it’s important to remember that high market volatility and changing economic environment makes it difficult to give long-term estimates. As such, analysts and algorithm-based platforms can and do get their ratings and predictions wrong. Always do your own research before making an investment decision. And never trade or invest more than you can afford to lose.
Banca Transilvania Shares - Technical Analysis
Banca Transilvania shares are in a steady downtrend since September 2021 as seen in the daily TLV chart below.
However, signs of a trend reversal might be in place. A golden cross occurred on the TLV chart when the 50-day moving average moved up toward the 200-day moving average and crosses it. This is noted as a bullish sign that could bring a higher high and send TLV shares price above the next key resistance level, 22 RON.
>> Learn more about technical analysis with our free trading courses for beginners.
How to Invest in Banca Transilvania
Some investors want to take an active hand in managing their investments, while others prefer to set it and forget it. Your preference may change but decide on an approach to get started.
For most people, stock market investing means choosing among these two investment types:
Individual TLV shares
If you’re after a specific company, you can buy a single share or a few shares to dip your toe into the stock-trading waters. Building a diversified portfolio out of many individual stocks is possible, but it takes significant investment and research.
If you go this route, remember that individual stocks will have ups and downs. If you research a company and choose to invest in it, think about why you picked that company in the first place if jitters start to set in on a down day.
Traditional stockbrokers allow you to invest in local stocks. However, you might not be able to invest in international stocks listed on the major stock exchanges, global ETFs, and other assets.
ETFs with TLV holdings
Banca Transilvania (or any single stock, for that matter) can be a very volatile investment. You can manage the risk you see extreme highs and lows by diversifying your investment holdings. An ETF, for instance, contains a basket of individual stocks. When you invest in a fund, you also own small pieces of each of those companies.
If you want an ETF with TLV representation, you might consider iShares MSCI Frontier and Select ETF. BlackRock's iShares is the largest provider of ETFs as calculated by assets under management.
The fund can be suitable for Romania and foreign investors who want liquid and diversified exposure to the top 7 companies listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange: Banca Transilvania, Petrom, Romgaz, BRD, Transgaz, Electrica, si Teraplast.
Why invest in TLV Shares via FM?
With net assets of almost $1B, The iShares MSCI Frontier and Select EM ETF (FM) is the largest exchange-traded-fund that seeks to track the investment results of an index composed primarily of frontier market equities along with select emerging market equities.
- Exposure to frontier market stocks and smaller size emerging market stocks with an emphasis on tradability and investability of the underlying constituents
- One-click access to a virtually untapped investment portfolio, including Banca Transilvania, Petrom, Romgaz, BRD, Transgaz, Electrica, and Teraplast.
- Use to seek long-term growth and diversification
How to Get Started with CAPEX.com
Here is how to buy and trade stocks, ETFs and other assets with an international, highly regulated broker like CAPEX.com:
- Choose which type of account you want to use. Your first concern should be your risk appetite and time horizon. If you want to buy and hold shares, open an Invest account. If you want to speculate on price movements (including falling prices) with zero commission and leverage, open a CFD trading account.
- Create an account. Regardless of your chosen account, you need to register and complete the KYC process to verify your identity.
- Fund your account with fiat money. Before buying and trading stocks and ETFs, you need to fund your exchange account with U.S. dollars, Euros, or other currencies.
- Place your order. Click on the "Search" icon located in the left panel or by clicking on "ETFs" and then select the instrument, such as "iShares MSCI Frontier and Select EM ETF”.
When trading stocks, the CFDs (contracts for difference) are stored in your account and are more liquid than the underlying asset.
However, you should be aware that CFD trading is fast-moving and requires close monitoring. As a result, traders should be aware of the significant risks when trading CFDs. There are margins you need to maintain; if you cannot cover reductions in values, your position might be closed, and you'll have to meet the loss no matter what subsequently happens to the underlying asset.
With CAPEX, you can trade CFDs on +2.000 stocks and invest in +5.000 stocks and ETFs with ownership.
Free trading tools and resources
Before you start investing in shares, you should consider using the educational resources we offer like CAPEX Academy or a demo trading account. CAPEX Academy has lots of free trading courses for you to choose from, and they all tackle a different financial concept or process – like the basics of analyses – to help you to become a more informed trader.
Our demo account is a great place for you to learn more about leveraged trading, and you’ll be able to get an intimate understanding of how CFDs work – as well as what it’s like to trade with leverage – before risking real capital. For this reason, a demo account with us is a great tool for investors who are looking to make a transition to leveraged trading.
Sources:
Shares - Investor Relations | Banca Transilvania
Banca Transilvania SA (0DP9.IL) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo Finance
BVB - Shares TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
Banca Transilvania (BVB:TLV) - Stock Price, News & Analysis - Simply Wall St
TLV: Banca Transilvania SA Stock Price Quote - Bloomberg
Banca Transilvania SA Share Price - BSE:TLV Stock Research | Stockopedia
Banca Transilvania | TLV - Stock Price | Live Quote | Historical Chart (tradingeconomics.com)
FAQs
Why do investors buy TLV shares?
Investors will buy TLV shares to:
- Make a profit from the TLV share price rising
- Receive an income from dividends if the company pays them
- Benefit from the effects of compounding
Investors should be aware they might get back less returns than they initially invested.
What is TLV shares price forecast for 2023 and beyond?
Banca Transilvania is forecasted to be priced at 19.21 by the end of this quarter and at 17.89 in one year, according to Trading Economics global macro models projections and analysts' expectations.
Should you invest in TLV shares in 2023?
Whether you buy TLV shares directly or invest in an ETF with TLV representation is a personal decision you should take depending on your risk tolerance and investing strategy. You should do your own research to develop an informed view of the market. Always make sure to do your own research. And never invest money you cannot afford to lose.
What is the PE ratio of Banca Transilvania?
The Banca Transilvania SA PE ratio based on its reported earnings over the past 12 months is 5.93.
What are the analyst and agencies' recommendations for Banca Transilvania SA?
The overall consensus recommendation for Banca Transilvania SA from analysts is Buy.
What is the Banca Transilvania SA dividend yield?
Banca Transilvania SA does not currently pay a dividend.
How do I buy Banca Transilvania SA shares?
To buy shares in Banca Transilvania SA you'll need a share-dealing account with an online stockbroker offering stocks listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange. Once you have opened your account and transferred funds into it, you'll be able to search and select shares to buy and sell.