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Bitcoin Weakens, Walmart Cautious, EURGBP Stuck in Range

Andreas Thalassinos
Andreas Thalassinos
24 February 2026

Financial markets are navigating a cautious and selective environment, with Bitcoin, Walmart, and EUR/GBP each reflecting a different side of today's macro landscape.  Bitcoin is under pressure near the $63,000 level as ETF outflows and risk-off sentiment weigh on momentum.  Walmart, meanwhile, is showing operational strength and e-commerce growth, but its cautious forward guidance highlights concerns about consumer resilience.  At the same time, EUR/GBP remains locked in a tight range as traders weigh diverging signals from the European Central Bank and the Bank of England.  Together, these three assets illustrate a broader theme: investors are balancing solid fundamentals against economic uncertainty, policy shifts, and changing risk appetite.

Financial markets are navigating a cautious and selective environment, with Bitcoin, Walmart, and EUR/GBP each reflecting a different side of today's macro landscape.  Bitcoin is under pressure near the $63,000 level as ETF outflows and risk-off sentiment weigh on momentum.  Walmart, meanwhile, is showing operational strength and e-commerce growth, but its cautious forward guidance highlights concerns about consumer resilience.  At the same time, EUR/GBP remains locked in a tight range as traders weigh diverging signals from the European Central Bank and the Bank of England.  Together, these three assets illustrate a broader theme: investors are balancing solid fundamentals against economic uncertainty, policy shifts, and changing risk appetite.

Bitcoin Slips Toward $63K as Risk-Off Mood and ETF Outflows Pressure 2026 Trend

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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is trading around $62,900 on February 24, 2026, down roughly 2.5% from the previous close, with prices moving between about $62,615 and $64,930 during the day. Recent price action has been choppy and sensitive to broader market sentiment, with a clear "risk-off" mood weighing on cryptocurrencies and keeping Bitcoin near the $63,000 level.  So far in 2026, Bitcoin is down around 27% year-to-date, showing that the overall trend this year has been more corrective than bullish, as investors remain cautious and quick to reduce exposure when uncertainty rises.

Bitcoin Struggles Near $63K as ETF Outflows Weigh on Momentum

One of the main pressures on Bitcoin right now has been weak spot Bitcoin ETF flows, with five straight weeks of outflows.  Around $479 million left in the most recent week alone, bringing total outflows for 2026 to roughly $2.7 billion.  This is important because ETF buying, or the lack of it, directly affects daily demand from traditional investors and can make price swings stronger during uncertain market conditions.  On the positive side, total net inflows since these ETFs launched are still significant, and overall assets remain large.  In simple terms, institutional interest has not disappeared, but it has become more inconsistent in recent weeks.

Macro Uncertainty and Rate Cut Bets Keep Bitcoin on Edge

Broader economic and policy headlines are playing a big role in Bitcoin's recent moves.  Renewed uncertainty around US tariffs and trade tensions has added pressure to financial markets, leading to sharp pullbacks in cryptocurrencies and other risk assets.  At the same time, expectations about interest rates remain a key factor.  Some analysts believe the Federal Reserve could cut rates several times in 2026, while others note that earlier this year the first rate cut was expected to be delayed until mid-year, showing how quickly market expectations can change.  Because Bitcoin often behaves like a high-volatility risk asset, changes in bond yields, the strength of the US dollar, and overall stock market sentiment can have a stronger short-term impact than crypto-specific news.

Walmart Strengthens Its Retail Empire with Technology and Everyday Value

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Walmart Inc. is the world's largest retailer, founded in 1962 and headquartered in Bentonville, Arkansas.  The company operates more than 10,000 stores and eCommerce platforms across 20+ countries, serving millions of customers daily.  Its business spans Walmart US, Walmart International, and Sam's Club warehouse membership stores.  Known for its everyday low price strategy, Walmart leverages scale, supply chain efficiency, and technology to deliver value across grocery, general merchandise, and essentials.  The company is increasingly investing in automation, digital commerce, advertising, and membership services to strengthen margins and enhance its omnichannel retail ecosystem.

Walmart Posts Solid Quarter Fueled by E-Commerce Momentum

In its fourth-quarter and full-year results released on February 19, 2026, Walmart reported steady growth and improving profitability, although management issued a cautious outlook for the year ahead.  Quarterly revenue reached $190.7 billion, rising about 5.6% compared to last year (4.9% in constant currency).  Global eCommerce sales jumped 24%, highlighting strong online demand.  Operating income increased 10.8%, growing faster than sales and showing better cost control.  Adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.74, slightly above expectations.  Advertising revenue rose roughly 37% globally, while membership income posted double-digit growth, helping diversify and strengthen overall revenue streams.

Omnichannel Strength and Margin Gains Power Walmart's Momentum

Walmart's recent performance shows strong strategic momentum driven by its expanding omnichannel model and improving profitability.  Online sales continue to grow rapidly across regions, supported by faster delivery options, store-fulfilled orders, and marketplace expansion.  At the same time, high-margin businesses such as advertising and membership programs are contributing more to overall profits, reducing reliance on traditional retail margins.  Operating income grew faster than revenue, reflecting better inventory control and supply chain automation.  However, consumer trends remain mixed, with higher-income shoppers spending steadily while lower-income customers remain cautious, which could influence future demand patterns across categories.

Cautious Outlook Overshadows Walmart's Earnings Beat

Even though Walmart reported earnings that beat expectations, its stock moved lower after the release because investors focused on the company's cautious outlook for fiscal 2027.  Management guided for revenue growth of about 3.5% to 4.5% and adjusted earnings per share between $2.75 and $2.85, which came in slightly below some Wall Street forecasts.  The pullback in the share price reflects concerns about future profitability rather than current performance.  Walmart's cautious guidance highlights ongoing economic uncertainty, particularly pressure on lower-income consumers, and signals that the company is preparing for a potentially challenging retail environment ahead.

EUR/GBP Stuck in a Tight Range as Traders Weigh ECB–BoE Signals

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As of February 24, 2026, EUR/GBP is hovering around 0.8620, comfortably within the 0.8644–0.8745 range that has defined price action since late January.  Over the past two weeks, the pair has gradually pushed higher as the euro found stability after mixed Eurozone data, while the pound softened on signs that UK growth is beginning to cool.  Volatility has stayed relatively contained, with traders adjusting positions in response to recent UK inflation data and updated policy signals from the European Central Bank and the Bank of England.  For now, the overall mood remains cautiously neutral, with neither side gaining a clear upper hand.

Policy Divergence Keeps EUR/GBP Steady but Supported

In the Eurozone, the European Central Bank is taking a cautious, data-driven approach after cutting interest rates in 2025 to help the economy.  Recent business surveys show growth is still weak but starting to stabilize, and inflation is gradually moving closer to the ECB's 2% target.  This means the bank is under less pressure to raise rates again, but it is also not in a hurry to cut aggressively.
In the UK, the Bank of England is still keeping policy tight, although weaker retail sales and slower wage growth have increased expectations of rate cuts later this year, slightly supporting the euro over the pound.

Range Trading Dominates as EUR/GBP Awaits a Catalyst

Market sentiment around EUR/GBP remains fairly balanced, with no strong bullish or bearish positioning dominating the market.  Speculative traders are not heavily committed in either direction, reflecting uncertainty about the next major move.  In the short term, many traders continue to buy near the 0.8550 area and take profits closer to 0.8700, reinforcing the pair's range-bound behavior.  Stable global equity markets have also reduced safe-haven flows into the pound, limiting sharp moves.  Overall, investors appear cautious and are waiting for a stronger economic or policy catalyst before taking larger positions in either direction.

This information/research prepared by Andreas Thalassinos does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views and consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.The research provided does not constitute the views of KW Investments Ltd nor is it an invitation to invest with KW Investments Ltd. The research analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.The research analyst in not employed by KW Investments Ltd. You are encouraged to seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit that conforms to your specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular financial needs before making a commitment to invest. The laws of the Republic of Seychelles shall govern any claim relating to or arising from the contents of the information/ research provided. 

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Andreas Thalassinos
Andreas Thalassinos
Financial Writer

Andreas Thalassinos is a recognized authority in the financial markets and world renowned for his expertise in algorithmic trading. He is a Certified Technical Analyst and highly respected lecturer in the education of traders, investors, and financial markets professionals. Thalassinos has played a key role in the development of education within the industry, training tens of thousands of traders of all skill levels. Traders value his seminars and workshops for the rich content, his passionate, charismatic, and lively presentations.