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Market Momentum Builds in EURJPY Bitcoin and CrowdStrike

Andreas Thalassinos
Andreas Thalassinos
03 December 2025

Markets are moving mid-week firmly, with notable action across currencies, crypto, and equities.  EUR/JPY is holding steady near 181.21 as bulls remain in control, supported by the ongoing policy gap between the eurozone and Japan.  Bitcoin has rebounded toward the 94,000 level after its recent dip, though volatility remains elevated as traders react to shifting expectations around US rate cuts.  In the equity space, CrowdStrike continues to draw attention after reporting strong Q3 results earlier this week, showcasing solid revenue growth, robust cash flow, and expanding demand for its cybersecurity platform. Together, these moves highlight a Wednesday market shaped by macro signals, shifting risk appetite, and strong company-specific fundamentals.

Markets are moving mid-week firmly, with notable action across currencies, crypto, and equities. EUR/JPY is holding steady near 181.21 as bulls remain in control, supported by the ongoing policy gap between the eurozone and Japan. Bitcoin has rebounded toward the 94,000 level after its recent dip, though volatility remains elevated as traders react to shifting expectations around US rate cuts. In the equity space, CrowdStrike continues to draw attention after reporting strong Q3 results earlier this week, showcasing solid revenue growth, robust cash flow, and expanding demand for its cybersecurity platform. Together, these moves highlight a Wednesday market shaped by macro signals, shifting risk appetite, and strong company-specific fundamentals.

EUR/JPY Holds 181.215 as Bulls Stay in Control

EUR/JPY is currently trading at 181.215 and maintains a moderately bullish tone as the pair continues to reflect the widening monetary policy divergence between the ECB's gradual normalization stance and the Bank of Japan's ultra-slow tightening path. While the euro remains sensitive to soft European growth data, stable risk appetite and firm bond yield spreads continue to provide underlying support.

The broader trend structure still favors the upside, but momentum is becoming more selective as traders await several high-impact indicators from both the eurozone and Japan later this week.

Eurozone Data in Focus as EUR/JPY Awaits Next Move

This week's eurozone data could drive meaningful volatility in EUR/JPY as traders reassess the region's growth outlook. The Eurozone Services PMI will be closely watched for signs of whether the slowdown is broadening beyond manufacturing; a weaker print could weigh on the euro by reinforcing expectations of a softer economic trajectory. Retail Sales data will be equally important, offering a read on consumer resilience at a time when household spending is under pressure from slower wage growth. Meanwhile, German Industrial Production remains a critical indicator, as persistent weakness in Europe's largest economy tends to ripple across sentiment and bond markets. Any downside surprises in these reports could dampen euro demand, while stronger figures may provide fresh support for EUR/JPY's bullish bias.

Japan Data Puts the Yen on Alert

Japan's upcoming data releases could inject fresh volatility into JPY pairs, including EUR/JPY. Tokyo CPI, a key forward indicator for nationwide inflation, will be closely watched to assess whether price pressures are firming enough to influence the Bank of Japan's slow-moving normalization path. A stronger reading could support the yen by shifting expectations toward a slightly less accommodative stance. Household Spending data will also play a crucial role, as it reflects consumer confidence and the sustainability of domestic demand. Weakness here may reinforce the BoJ's cautious tone. Finally, the Final Q3 GDP revision has the potential to shift market sentiment: an upward revision could offer temporary support to the yen, while a downgrade would likely renew pressure and keep EUR/JPY biased to the upside.

Bitcoin Rebounds Toward $94K but Volatility Still Looms

After a sharp sell-off starting December 1, when Bitcoin plunged toward the mid-$80,000 range, BTC has staged a notable rebound.  As of this morning, the price sits around $93,700, marking roughly a 7% recovery from the recent session lows.

The bounce suggests that some risk-on sentiment has returned, supported by growing speculation that the Federal Reserve may pivot toward rate cuts soon — a development many investors see as generally positive for crypto assets.

Still, the past few days have exposed some underlying fragility: institutional flows remain uneven, and the broader macro backdrop is tense. Together, these factors mean that Bitcoin's path forward could remain choppy despite the short-term recovery.

Macro Hopes Lift Bitcoin, but Headwinds Still Hold It Back

Markets are increasingly pricing in a potential Federal Reserve rate cut, prompting renewed risk-taking and helping fuel Bitcoin's rebound from the recent dip. If the Fed does ease policy, lower real yields and a softer dollar could strengthen Bitcoin's appeal as a non-yielding alternative asset.  However, institutional flows remain mixed, with recent ETF outflows signaling that broad demand is still uneven and leaving the market highly sensitive to macro developments and shifts in sentiment.  At the same time, the crypto market continues to mature, with trading becoming more institutional and on-chain settlement volumes scaling toward levels seen in major payment networks. Some analysts believe that despite recent turbulence, Bitcoin could still be positioned for another major rally if macro conditions turn supportive.  Even so, structural risks, ongoing volatility, and hesitant dip buyers highlight meaningful headwinds that could limit upside momentum in the near term.

Bitcoin Steadies, but a Clear Breakout Still Awaits

While the rebound to around $93.7K is encouraging, Bitcoin remains in a delicate phase. Until institutional demand strengthens or clear macro catalysts emerge, the path forward will likely involve sideways and uneven movement rather than a smooth upward trend.

For medium-term investors who believe in structural adoption and market maturation, this could be a "wait and see" period—either holding positions or accumulating gradually. For short-term traders, the current volatility offers opportunities, but it also requires disciplined risk management given the market's sensitivity to macro developments.

CrowdStrike Surges Ahead With Record Q3 Growth

CrowdStrike is a US-based cybersecurity company that focuses on cloud-native protection for computers, cloud workloads, identities, and real-time threat detection and response. All of this is delivered through its main platform, called Falcon. Founded in 2011 and headquartered in Austin, Texas, the company has grown into a major player in the cybersecurity industry, offering a unified, AI-driven system that replaces many older security tools. By the end of Q3 2026, CrowdStrike's Annual Recurring Revenue reached 4.92 billion dollars, rising 23 percent from the previous year and showing strong and expanding subscription demand.

CrowdStrike Powers Ahead

In the quarter ending October 31, 2025, CrowdStrike reported revenue of 1.23 billion dollars, an increase of about 22 percent compared with the same period last year.  The company posted non-GAAP net income of 245.4 million dollars, or 0.96 dollars per share, slightly above market expectations.  CrowdStrike also generated strong cash flow, with free cash flow reaching 295.9 million dollars and operating cash flow rising to 397.5 million dollars.  After the earnings release, the share price moved higher as investors reacted positively, although the stock still trades at a relatively high valuation.

Tailwinds Driving CrowdStrike's Growth

CrowdStrike's positive drivers include strong recurring revenue growth and rising customer adoption. Net new annual recurring revenue in Q3 jumped 73 percent year over year, showing faster demand and successful expansion within existing clients.  The company also demonstrated solid profitability, with higher non-GAAP earnings and strong free cash flow that gives it room to invest in new products, research, acquisitions, and broader sales efforts.  In addition, CrowdStrike is well-positioned to benefit from growing demand for AI-driven and cloud-native security, as more businesses shift their operations to the cloud and seek unified cybersecurity platforms like Falcon.

Key Risks CrowdStrike Must Navigate

CrowdStrike faces several negative drivers that investors should keep in mind.  The stock's valuation appears high, meaning expectations are already priced in and there is little room for disappointment if growth slows or competition intensifies.  Profitability also still leans heavily on non-GAAP metrics, as the company continues to report GAAP losses due to large expenses such as stock-based compensation and ongoing investments. Competition remains intense in the cybersecurity market, where many established and emerging players are fighting for market share, especially in AI and cloud security. Finally, demand for cybersecurity can be affected by broader economic conditions and corporate IT budgets, which means weaker spending could slow recurring revenue growth or renewal rates.

This information/research prepared by Andreas Thalassinos does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views and consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.The research provided does not constitute the views of KW Investments Ltd nor is it an invitation to invest with KW Investments Ltd. The research analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.The research analyst in not employed by KW Investments Ltd. You are encouraged to seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit that conforms to your specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular financial needs before making a commitment to invest. The laws of the Republic of Seychelles shall govern any claim relating to or arising from the contents of the information/ research provided. 

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Andreas Thalassinos
Andreas Thalassinos
Financial Writer

Andreas Thalassinos is a recognized authority in the financial markets and world renowned for his expertise in algorithmic trading. He is a Certified Technical Analyst and highly respected lecturer in the education of traders, investors, and financial markets professionals. Thalassinos has played a key role in the development of education within the industry, training tens of thousands of traders of all skill levels. Traders value his seminars and workshops for the rich content, his passionate, charismatic, and lively presentations.